Gold Surges to Record High as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cuts Ahead of Powell’s Speech
Credit: The Edge Malaysia
Spot gold had risen 1% to US$3,784.01 (RM15,887.17) per ounce as of 1011 GMT, after hitting a fresh record high of US$3,790.82, earlier in the session.
US gold futures for December delivery rose 1.1% to US$3,817.70.
New Fed governor Stephen Miran called for aggressive rate cuts on Monday, adding that the Fed was misreading how tight it had set monetary policy and will put the job market at risk, a view countered in remarks by three of his colleagues who feel the central bank needs to remain cautious about inflation.
"Miran’s dovish posture certainly heightens the expectation of greater rate cuts as it seems the US administration is keen to push this, and this is a gold-positive outcome," said independent analyst Ross Norman.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, investors see two 25-basis-point cuts, one each in October and December, with a 90% and 73% probability respectively.
Non-yielding gold tends to do well in a low-interest-rate environment.
"Gold is seeing good demand from institutional investors who are perhaps rotating out of equities as those markets peak, coupled with good demand from India," Norman added.
Physical gold premiums in India rose to a 10-month high this week as record prices near a festive season failed to deter investors from buying bullion in anticipation of further gains.
Norman also said that, in the short term, gold rates depend on sustained Indian demand, a rebound in Chinese buying, and whether the rise in exchange-traded fund (ETF) holdings proves durable.
SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world's largest gold-backed ETF, said its holdings rose 0.60% to 1,000.57 tons, a more than three-year high on Monday from last Friday.
Spot silver rose 0.4% to US$44.24 per ounce, hovering near a 14-year high. Platinum was up 1.5% at US$1,437.56 and palladium rose 1.9% to US$1,201.
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